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406,422

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2,688

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5

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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies
kalshi
predict
polymarket

Who will win Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies?

Volume:
$2,123,743

Yes

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 23, 2026

Closed: Jul 21, 8:19 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Yes

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$953,012
N/A
N/A
$639,586
Settled
Yes
polymarket

NRFI

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,435
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$826,661
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$3,822
$18,775
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$250,733
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 10.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$24,387
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$22,080
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$14,063
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 11.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,295
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$401
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$228
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$180
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$122
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 7.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 13.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,052
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,115
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$98
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$41
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 14.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Extra Innings

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 28

Intro

This market tracks the likelihood of the Los Angeles Dodgers winning by more than 3.5 runs in their game against the Philadelphia Phillies. The aggregated consensus probability for the Dodgers meeting this spread is 99.0%. Data is drawn from Kalshi, Predict, and Polymarket, with resolution details provided by https://www.mlb.com/scores. Watch for the game on July 22, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET, as this is the event that will determine the outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Date mismatch between platforms: Kalshi lists July 21, 2026 while Polymarket and Predict list July 22, 2026, both at 6:40 PM ET/EDT. This may indicate different games or a data entry error.Hero tip: Cross-reference the official MLB schedule on MLB.com using the home team (Philadelphia Phillies) to confirm whether the Dodgers-Phillies matchup is on July 21 or July 22. If both dates have games, verify opponent and game context to ensure you are trading the correct event.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Moneyline and first-inning markets both scheduled for July 22 at 6:40 PM ET. Moneyline resolves to winner or 50-50 if canceled/tied/postponed. First-inning resolves Yes/No based on runs scored. Primary source: official MLB statistics within 24 hours, fallback to credible reporting consensus.
  • Predict: Moneyline market scheduled for July 22 at 6:40 PM ET. Resolves to winner or 50-50 if canceled/tied/postponed. Primary source: official MLB statistics within 24 hours, fallback to credible reporting consensus.
  • Kalshi: First-inning run market scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. Resolves Yes if either team scores in the 1st inning. Date differs from other platforms by one day.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for July 22 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game. This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Los Angeles D vs Philadelphia professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 21, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for July 22 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game. This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market data on the Dodgers vs. Phillies matchup across Polymarket and Predict, letting traders monitor real-time odds and consensus views on game outcomes. You can track multiple related markets—from run-scoring in early innings to final-game results—across both venues simultaneously. The cross-platform view helps you spot where the two communities agree and where they diverge, giving you a fuller picture of how the market is pricing this matchup as game day approaches.

Prediction markets like those tracked here are often more efficient than traditional sportsbooks because they aggregate real-time trader sentiment without the house margin that sportsbooks build in. Prediction market prices reflect what actual participants are willing to bet, whereas sportsbook odds are set by oddsmakers and adjusted for profit. Over time, prediction markets have proven competitive with or sharper than sportsbook lines, especially as volume grows. Comparing this market's odds to your preferred sportsbook can reveal value opportunities.

Polymarket and Predict may price outcomes differently due to variations in user base, liquidity depth, and trading activity at any given moment. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform's fee structure, interface design, and promotional incentives can also attract different trader demographics, leading to temporary price gaps. These differences create arbitrage opportunities for sharp traders who monitor both venues. Over time, as information spreads and traders move capital to exploit mispricings, the two platforms tend to converge.

Key catalysts include injury reports on star players, recent team performance trends, bullpen availability, and weather conditions on game day. Lineup announcements and starting pitcher confirmations typically trigger sharp price moves in the hours before first pitch. Breaking news about roster changes or unexpected absences can shift odds significantly. Monitor sports news outlets and official team announcements closely, as prediction markets react quickly to new information that affects game probability.