TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 8:08 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the Los Angeles Dodgers and New York Yankees will combine for more than 3.5 runs during the first five innings of their matchup. The consensus probability across Polymarket, Kalshi, Predict, and Opinion stands at 100.0%, with resolution determined by official MLB records. Watch for the game scheduled July 18, 2026 at 8:08 PM ET, as the first-inning and five-inning scoring will directly determine the outcome.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and New York Yankees, scheduled for July 18 at 8:08PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
If Los Angeles D and New York Y go to extra innings in the Los Angeles D vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 18, 2026 at 8:08 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and New York Yankees, scheduled for July 18 at 8:08PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-07-19 16:35 UTC: If the Los Angeles Dodgers win, the market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers". If the New York Yankees win, the market will resolve to "New York Yankees". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Prediction markets and sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they serve different purposes. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven purely by trader consensus—there's no house edge or margin built in. This means prediction market prices often reflect a truer aggregation of belief, especially when volume is high. However, sportsbooks may move faster on breaking news because they actively manage their lines, whereas this market updates only when traders execute new trades. Comparing both can reveal which venue sees more or less conviction around a particular outcome.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, all of which influence how prices settle. Polymarket and Predict may also have slightly different market designs or promotional incentives that draw certain types of participants. Additionally, timing matters—one venue may process new information faster than the other, creating temporary arbitrage opportunities. These differences are normal and often reflect the strengths of each platform rather than errors. Savvy traders monitor both to identify mispricings and understand where the broader consensus truly lies.
Key catalysts include injury reports, lineup announcements, recent team performance, and weather conditions on game day. Unexpected roster changes or trades can shift trader sentiment significantly. Public betting trends from major sportsbooks may also influence prediction market prices, especially if sharp money moves in one direction. Breaking news about player availability or coaching decisions often triggers rapid repricing. Additionally, if one team's playoff positioning suddenly changes or momentum swings dramatically, this market will react accordingly. Monitor sports news closely in the days leading up to the event for maximum insight.