TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-09-16 22:40 UTC: If the Los Angeles Dodgers win, the market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers". If the Cincinnati Reds win, the market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-09-16 22:40 UTC: If the Los Angeles Dodgers win, the market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers". If the Cincinnati Reds win, the market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds to attract balanced betting and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. While sportsbooks may adjust their lines based on betting action, this market continuously updates based on the collective judgment of participants. It's common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available leading up to the game.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the current probability that outcome will occur, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders believe the Dodgers will win, for example, the price of contracts predicting a Dodgers victory will increase. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, offering a forward-looking assessment of the game’s potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Los Angeles Dodgers versus Cincinnati Reds game will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. This includes verifying the final score and any relevant game statistics. The resolution process relies on publicly available information to ensure a transparent and accurate determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Dodgers or the Reds would likely cause price shifts. Changes in starting pitchers, weather forecasts impacting game conditions, or even significant pre-game analysis from respected baseball analysts could all move the market. Unexpected lineup changes or late-breaking news about team morale could also play a role. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market before it resolves.