TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Los Angeles D vs Chicago C: First Inning Run
predict
opinion
kalshi

Who will win Los Angeles Dodgers vs Chicago Cubs?

Volume:
$655,525

Yes

 - Kalshi

Yes - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 5, 2026

Closed: Aug 5, 2:39 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Yes

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$602,576
N/A
N/A
$562,370
Settled
Yes
predict

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs

1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$552
$52,938
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Chicago Cubs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of an MLB game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and Chicago Cubs, specifically focusing on whether either team scores a run in the first inning.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental market definition mismatch - Opinion/Predict markets resolve based on game winner while Kalshi resolves based on first inning scoringHero tip: Traders should verify which market type they are trading before placing bets, as these markets resolve to completely different outcomes. Do not assume consistency across platforms for this event group.

Critical divergence points:

  • Opinion: Resolves to Los Angeles Dodgers if they win the game, Chicago Cubs if they win, 50-50 for ties/cancellations. Key quote: In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-08-05 00:05 UTC: If the Los Angeles Dodgers win, the market will resolve to Los Angeles Dodgers'
  • Predict: Resolves to Los Angeles Dodgers if they win the game, Chicago Cubs if they win, 50-50 for ties/cancellations. Key quote: This market will resolve to Los Angeles Dodgers if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game'
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either team scores a run in the first inning, No otherwise. Key quote: If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Los Angeles D vs Chicago C professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 5, 2026 at 2:20 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Los Angeles D vs Chicago C professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 5, 2026 at 2:20 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and Chicago Cubs, scheduled for August 4 at 8:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Opinion

In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-08-05 00:05 UTC: If the Los Angeles Dodgers win, the market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers". If the Chicago Cubs win, the market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard tracks aggregated predictions across Predict and Opinion for the first inning run market. It shows how traders on both venues price the likelihood of a run being scored in the first inning of the game, along with total volume of $655,525 and recent 24-hour volume of $652,768. This gives a real-time consensus view of market expectations, highlighting any shifts in sentiment as the first pitch approaches.

Injuries to key batters or pitchers, weather delays affecting game start times, and last-minute lineup changes could all shift this market. Additionally, strong performance in pre-game spring training or recent matchups may influence trader sentiment on Predict and Opinion, especially as the first pitch approaches and real-time updates become available.