TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 5:57 PM EST
Kalshi
For the Los Angeles D vs San Francisco game on September 27, 2026, the possibility exists for the game to continue past the regulation nine innings if the teams are still locked in a tie. Extra innings allow continued competition until one team gains the upper hand.
If at least 1 extra inning is played in the Los Angeles D vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026 at 3:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or as the event draws closer. Comparing the two can provide a more nuanced understanding of the potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders set the odds by placing buy and sell orders for contracts. The price of a contract reflects the probability of the corresponding outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth—the number of buy and sell orders at different price levels—indicates the strength of conviction among traders. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Los Angeles vs San Francisco game, including any extra innings played. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to ensure accuracy. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final contract price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in pitching matchups, or weather forecasts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in preceding games, or even pre-game analysis from respected sports commentators, could also cause price fluctuations. Major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or social media, might also play a role. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into potential market movements and inform your trading strategy before the market resolves.