TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 27, 1:00 AM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the combined total of hits, runs, and RBIs for Fernando Tatis Jr., Freddie Freeman, Jackson Merrill, Kyle Tucker, Manny Machado, Mookie Betts, and Shohei Ohtani during the June 26, 2026 Dodgers-Padres game. This combined statistic measures overall offensive contribution by adding a player's hits, runs scored, and runs batted in.
Settlement is based on each player's combined hits plus runs plus RBIs recorded during the game, provided they start in the lineup and record at least one plate appearance. Players who are scratched or not in the starting lineup resolve to fair market price. Players entering the game as pinch hitters do not count toward settlement. If a starting player fails to record a plate appearance, the market resolves to fair market price. The combined total is calculated by adding all hits, runs scored, and RBIs credited to the player during the game.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader conviction and real-money risk. This market's odds emerge from continuous trading rather than a bookmaker's fixed spread, which can lead to faster price discovery around breaking news or late-game developments. Comparing the two reveals whether informed traders are pricing outcomes differently than traditional oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers that determine the real-time contract value. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders profit or lose based on whether their prediction of combined hits, runs, and RBIs proves accurate at settlement. The price naturally reflects the collective belief of all active participants, adjusting instantly as new information or trades arrive, creating a dynamic and transparent price discovery mechanism throughout the event window.
This market resolves around Jun 27, 2026, once the Dodgers-Padres game concludes and final statistics are verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the aggregate performance data for the specified player stats categories—hits, runs, and RBIs—as officially recorded. Traders holding positions at resolution will see their contracts settled based on whether the combined totals meet or exceed the prediction thresholds established at market creation.
Key catalysts for this market include lineup announcements, injury reports affecting star hitters, weather conditions that influence ball carry and offensive output, and real-time game developments such as early scoring runs or pitcher changes. Trades and betting activity from informed participants can also shift prices sharply if new information emerges. As the game progresses, actual hits, runs, and RBIs will accumulate, allowing traders to adjust positions based on whether early performance suggests the final totals will exceed or fall short of market expectations.