TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 23, 11:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This market predicts individual team run totals for the Los Angeles Dodgers and Minnesota Twins in their June 23, 2026 game, with separate thresholds for each team ranging from over 1.5 to over 7.5 runs.
The market resolves based on the individual run totals scored by each team during the full game. Minnesota outcomes resolve to Yes if Minnesota's final run total exceeds the specified threshold (e.g., Over 1.5 means Minnesota scores 2+ runs). Los Angeles D outcomes resolve to Yes if Los Angeles D's final run total exceeds the specified threshold (e.g., Over 1.5 means Los Angeles D scores 2+ runs). Each team's performance is evaluated independently against its corresponding thresholds.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by traders seeking to profit from accurate forecasts. This market may price team totals differently than traditional sportsbooks, especially if professional bettors and casual traders disagree on a team's scoring potential. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd on Kalshi sees value that mainstream oddsmakers have missed or mispriced.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing each team's total points. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome fluctuates based on supply and demand, with the spread between buy and sell prices reflecting liquidity and uncertainty. As new information emerges—such as player availability or recent performance—traders adjust their positions, moving the implied probability up or down. This dynamic pricing ensures the market stays responsive to real-world developments throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Jun 24, 2026, once the game concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by whether each team's actual total points scored falls above or below the specified threshold. No further action is required from traders after the game ends; the platform automatically settles all positions based on the official final score. Resolution is straightforward and transparent, tied directly to the verifiable result of the matchup.
Injury announcements, roster changes, and recent team performance trends are key catalysts that can shift prices in this market. If a star player is ruled out or returns to the lineup, traders will immediately reprice their expectations for that team's scoring output. Back-to-back games, travel schedules, and coaching adjustments also influence total points projections. Additionally, momentum from recent wins or losses, pace-of-play trends, and head-to-head matchup history can prompt traders to reassess their positions. Monitoring team news and statistical trends up to game time helps traders stay ahead of market repricing.