TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Los Angeles D vs Minnesota: First Inning Run
kalshi
predict

Los Angeles D vs Minnesota: First Inning Run

Volume:
$184,220

Yes

 - Kalshi

Yes - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 24, 2026

Closed: Jun 23, 8:29 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Yes

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$180,580
N/A
N/A
$132,234
Settled
Yes
predict

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins

N/A
N/A
—
$3,785
$3,639
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Description

This event group contains two distinct markets about the Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins game scheduled for June 24, 2026 at 7:40 PM ET. The Predict platform market resolves on the full-game winner, while the Kalshi platform market resolves on whether either team scores in the first inning only. These are fundamentally different betting propositions despite referencing the same underlying game.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Scope divergence: Predict market resolves on full-game winner outcome, while Kalshi market resolves on first-inning run occurrence only. These measure different events within the same game.Hero tip: Treat these as separate, uncorrelated markets. Full-game winner odds do not directly predict first-inning scoring. Monitor first-inning lineups and pitcher tendencies separately for the Kalshi market; monitor overall team strength and matchup for the Predict market.

Critical divergence points:

  • Predict: Resolves on full-game winner (Dodgers or Twins). If postponed, market remains open. If canceled with no makeup or ends in tie, resolves 50-50. Source: Official final statistics within 24 hours or credible consensus thereafter.
  • Kalshi: Resolves Yes if either team scores a run in the first inning only. Binary outcome tied to first-inning scoring event, not game result.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Los Angeles D vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 23, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and Minnesota Twins, scheduled for June 24 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game. This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like those tracked here operate on continuous trader-set pricing rather than fixed sportsbook lines. On this market, odds shift in real time as new money flows in, reflecting live consensus rather than a bookmaker's static spread. Sportsbooks typically adjust lines to balance action and protect margins, while prediction platforms aggregate distributed beliefs directly. This market's odds may diverge from traditional sportsbooks because traders price based on perceived probability rather than liability management. For first-inning outcomes, prediction markets often react faster to lineup changes or weather updates than traditional books.

Lineup announcements—particularly the insertion or absence of power hitters—can shift first-inning scoring odds significantly. Starting pitcher matchups and recent bullpen performance also influence early-inning run probability. Weather conditions at game time, such as wind direction and temperature, affect ball carry and may favor offensive or defensive play. Injury updates to key batters or pitchers in the days before the game can trigger sharp repricing. Late-breaking team news, such as roster moves or manager comments on aggressive early-inning strategy, may also drive meaningful market movement closer to first pitch.