TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 6:59 PM EST
Kalshi
The Los Angeles Dodgers will host the Miami Marlins in a Major League Baseball game on September 12, 2026. If the game lasts longer than the standard nine innings due to a tie score after the ninth, it will go into extra innings.
If at least 1 extra inning is played in the Los Angeles D vs Miami professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in a particular result. If you observe significant differences, it could indicate that the market believes a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of extra innings in the Dodgers vs Marlins game, or vice versa.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of extra innings occurring. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event happening. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, signaling growing confidence in extra innings. Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and trader sentiment, offering a real-time assessment of the likelihood of this specific game extending beyond nine innings.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether the Los Angeles Dodgers versus Miami Marlins game officially goes into extra innings, as determined by official MLB game statistics. The final result will be sourced from official game data and verified against credible public sources. The market will then settle based on whether extra innings were played, and payouts will be distributed accordingly to contract holders.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either the Dodgers or Marlins would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if rain is predicted, could also impact the likelihood of a complete game and thus the probability of extra innings. In-game developments, such as a close score and strong pitching performances, might also shift trader sentiment. Any significant information affecting the perceived competitiveness of the game could lead to fluctuations in volume and price before Sep 12, 2026.