TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 30, 5:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This market resolves based on whether the Los Angeles D vs Detroit game on August 30, 2026, extends beyond the standard nine innings. Extra innings are triggered when both teams are tied after the ninth inning, leading to additional rounds of play until one team secures a victory. The outcome hinges on late-game dynamics and bullpen effectiveness.
If at least 1 extra inning is played in the Los Angeles D vs Detroit professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 30, 2026 at 1:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds adjust dynamically based on real-time trading activity, allowing for more granular shifts in probability as the game approaches. While sportsbooks may offer fixed odds set by analysts, this market captures crowd-sourced insights that can diverge significantly, especially with changing conditions or new information. Traders often see different implied probabilities compared to standard sportsbook lines, making this market a unique tool for evaluating expectations around extra innings.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine the price through continuous bidding and asking, with the current top chance reflecting aggregated expectations about extra innings. The market’s probability adjusts based on volume and recent trade activity, offering a live barometer of collective trader confidence. As Aug 30, 2026 approaches, shifts in betting patterns, injury reports, or weather forecasts can cause rapid changes in pricing, distinguishing this market from static sportsbook odds.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the game result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The binary determination hinges solely on whether the contest goes beyond the scheduled nine innings, with no ambiguity in classification once official scores are published.
Key signals that could shift this market include starting pitcher announcements, weather delays, injury updates for star players, and in-game performance trends such as early leads or high pitch counts. Each development may prompt traders to reassess the probability of extended play, thus influencing odds and volume on Kalshi as Aug 30, 2026 approaches.