TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 9:40 PM EST
Predict
This group forecasts the outcome of a Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds baseball game. One market asks who will win the game, while the other asks if the game will go into extra innings. These are distinct outcomes, creating a divergence in resolution criteria.
If at least 1 extra inning is played in the Los Angeles D vs Cincinnati professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 15, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and Cincinnati Reds, scheduled for September 15 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game. This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to express their belief about the likelihood of an event. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert opinion. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, particularly as new information emerges.
Prices on Kalshi and Predict for this market can diverge due to several factors. Kalshi and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying risk appetites and information access, leading to differing valuations. Trading volume also plays a role; a higher volume on one platform can indicate stronger conviction and potentially influence pricing. Additionally, the specific mechanisms for price discovery—how traders can place bids and asks—differ between Kalshi and Predict, contributing to potential price discrepancies. These factors combine to create unique market dynamics on each platform.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either the Dodgers or Cincinnati would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if rain is predicted, could also impact the likelihood of extra innings. Additionally, in-game events during other games that affect playoff standings, and therefore team motivation, could indirectly influence trading activity. Finally, any significant shifts in public sentiment or expert predictions could drive changes in volume and price.