TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 3, 8:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether either the Los Angeles D or Chicago C will score a run in the first inning of their professional baseball game. On Kalshi, the current probability for Yes is 99.0%, with resolution based on the game's official results. The specific catalyst to watch is the game scheduled for August 3, 2026, as any runs scored in the first inning will determine the outcome by August 4, 2026.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Los Angeles D vs Chicago C professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 3, 2026 at 8:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market resolves around Aug 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result depends solely on whether a run is scored in the first inning of the game, as observed by official scorekeepers and widely reported in sports media. After the game concludes, the market settles automatically based on this public record, without any additional interpretation needed.
Key signals that could shift prices in this market include last-minute lineup announcements — especially regarding starting pitchers — weather delays or changes that might affect early batting strategies, and any pre-game injury updates for key hitters or pitchers. Sudden shifts in betting volume from large traders can also create momentum, as can credible rumors or media reports about team tactics for the opening inning. All of these factors help traders adjust their expectations about early scoring before the first pitch is thrown.