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Closed: Jul 2, 12:09 AM EST
Kalshi
This market on Kalshi tracks whether the Los Angeles Dodgers and Oakland Athletics will combine to score more than 5.5 runs in their matchup. The leading outcome currently stands at 99.0%. Resolution is determined by the official combined run total from the professional baseball game scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, as recorded by MLB. Watch for the final score when the game concludes on July 1, 2026, which will determine whether the combined runs exceed the 5.5-run threshold.
Resolution is determined by the final combined run total scored by Los Angeles Dodgers and Oakland Athletics in the game originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT. The event establishes multiple run thresholds, each functioning as a separate binary outcome: the combined score must exceed 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, 8.5, 9.5, 10.5, 11.5, or 12.5 runs. Each threshold is evaluated independently against the final game score. Only runs scored during regulation play count toward resolution.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets like this one aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital. Over time, prediction markets have proven competitive with or more accurate than traditional sportsbook lines on similar events. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where the crowd sees value or where sharp money is flowing.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing different run-total outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the collective willingness of buyers and sellers to transact at that level. As new information emerges—injuries, weather, or early-game developments—traders adjust their positions, and the market price moves accordingly. This dynamic pricing ensures the odds stay current and reflect real-time sentiment among participants.
This market resolves around Jul 2, 2026, once the game concludes and the final run total is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the combined runs scored by both teams during regulation play. No further action is required from you; the platform automatically settles the market based on the official final score. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while those on the losing side forfeit their stake.
Several catalysts can shift this market significantly before game time. Roster changes—such as a star player being ruled out or returning from injury—often trigger sharp moves, as do weather updates that might favor hitters or pitchers. Bullpen news and recent offensive or defensive trends can also sway traders. Once the game begins, early scoring, pitching changes, and momentum swings will drive continuous repricing. Monitor team announcements and sports news closely to stay ahead of market moves.