TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 2, 12:09 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks individual team run totals for both Los Angeles Dodgers and Oakland Athletics in their professional baseball game on July 1, 2026. Bettors predict whether each team will exceed various run thresholds independently.
Resolution is determined by the individual final run totals for Oakland Athletics and Los Angeles Dodgers in the game originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT. Oakland's performance is evaluated against thresholds of 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, and 7.5 runs, while Los Angeles Dodgers' performance is evaluated against the same thresholds. Each team's score is assessed independently; Oakland must score 2 or more runs to clear the 1.5 threshold, 3 or more for 2.5, and so forth. The same logic applies to Los Angeles Dodgers' thresholds. Only runs scored during regulation play count toward resolution.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market's odds may lead or lag sportsbook lines depending on information flow and trader conviction. Comparing the two can reveal where professional bettors and prediction market participants disagree on the Dodgers' scoring potential, offering insight into consensus strength.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares reflecting their belief in whether the Dodgers will exceed or fall short of the specified total. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices range from 0 to 100 cents per share, with each cent representing a 1% probability increment. As new information emerges—injuries, lineup changes, or weather—traders adjust their positions, and the market price adjusts accordingly. This real-time repricing ensures the odds stay aligned with current expectations.
This market resolves around Jul 2, 2026, once the game concludes and the final Dodgers team total is confirmed. The outcome is verified against credible public sources reporting the official box score. At that point, the market settles based on whether the actual run total met or exceeded the specified threshold. Traders holding the correct side of the outcome receive their payout, while the opposing position expires worthless.
Key catalysts include roster changes, injury announcements to star hitters, and bullpen availability updates. Weather forecasts closer to game day—wind direction and temperature affect ball carry—often trigger repricing. Scouting reports on Oakland's pitching matchup and recent offensive trends for Los Angeles can shift trader positioning. Breaking news on player health or late-game lineup decisions typically causes sharp price movement. Monitor sports news outlets and team announcements for developments that could significantly alter expectations around the Dodgers' scoring output.