TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:38 PM EST
Kalshi
Los Angeles C and Buffalo will compete, and a safety can be scored by tackling a player in the team's own end zone during the match.
If Los Angeles C or Buffalo record a safety in the Los Angeles C vs Buffalo Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and often incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. If sportsbooks are heavily favoring one team, you might see a different probability implied in this market, especially if there’s disagreement among those trading it. It’s common to see discrepancies arise due to differing information or interpretations of the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a safety being scored in the Los Angeles vs Buffalo game. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the 'Yes' outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy 'Yes' contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of a safety. Conversely, selling 'Yes' contracts drives the price down. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the collective beliefs of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the determination will be based on whether a safety was officially scored during the Los Angeles vs Buffalo game, as recorded by official game statistics. The final score and official game logs will serve as the basis for verifying the outcome of this market. The resolution will reflect the official result as reported by the governing body of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key defensive players on either the Los Angeles or Buffalo teams could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to be adverse, could also impact the likelihood of a safety. In-game events, such as early turnovers or penalties, could also cause rapid price adjustments as traders react to the unfolding situation. Unexpected strategic decisions by either coaching staff could also move this market.