TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific players achieve designated yardage thresholds in an upcoming football game between Los Angeles and Buffalo. The outcome depends on the combined rushing and receiving yards accumulated by individual players during the match.
All markets resolve based on whether named players record specified thresholds of combined rushing and receiving yards in the designated game. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game begins. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to the actual yards recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all thresholds for each player, ensuring consistent evaluation of performance metrics.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Bookmakers may also incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which isn’t present in the way this market functions. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of expected probabilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Los Angeles C versus Buffalo player prop. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe an outcome is likely, the price of contracts representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final combined rushing and receiving yards for the players in question will be used to determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on official statistics released by the NFL and verified against credible public sources. Traders will be able to see the final result and any relevant data that supports the resolution on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected reports about player health, particularly for key players involved in the Los Angeles C versus Buffalo matchup, would likely cause substantial movement. Furthermore, analysis from sports analysts and updated projections could also impact trading activity and the overall pricing of contracts in this market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in probabilities.