TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 3:43 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how often specific players will run with the ball during an upcoming football game between Los Angeles and Buffalo. Each market focuses on a different player and a different minimum number of rushing attempts needed for the market to settle as 'Yes'.
All markets resolve based on the number of rushing attempts recorded by specified players in the Los Angeles Chargers vs. Buffalo Bills game scheduled for September 27, 2026. For each market, if the named player records the specified number of rushing attempts or more, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. If a player is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if that play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles strictly based on the actual number of rushing attempts recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent evaluation of player performance metrics for resolution purposes.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it might indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular rushing attempts total. It’s important to note that these are separate markets with different dynamics.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different ranges of total rushing attempts. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a specific range, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information and provide a real-time assessment of the expected rushing attempts total.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of combined rushing attempts by both Los Angeles C and Buffalo will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The contracts representing the range that includes the actual number of rushing attempts will settle at 100, while those outside the range will settle to zero. Traders will be able to see the final result and their payout on Kalshi following the game’s conclusion.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. News regarding injuries to key running backs on either team would likely have a significant impact, as it would affect their expected rushing volume. Changes in weather conditions, such as rain or snow, could also shift the market, as they often lead to a greater emphasis on the running game. Game-day inactives and even pre-game reports about play-calling tendencies could all contribute to movement in this market before it resolves.