TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of receptions for various players in a specific football game, offering multiple thresholds for each player. The outcomes are determined by whether each player meets or exceeds their designated reception count during the game.
Each market focuses on a specific player and a reception threshold, resolving to 'Yes' if the player records at least the specified number of receptions. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap, the market outcome is determined solely by whether the reception threshold is met, regardless of any penalties that may nullify the play. The markets are independent, each evaluating a unique player and reception benchmark.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of an event. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of how each type of market operates. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different reception totals. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a real-time indication of market expectations. The current price represents the cost to take one side of the bet, and traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the final reception count.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final reception totals for the players in the Los Angeles C versus Buffalo game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will be able to see the final results and any payouts on Kalshi following the completion of the game.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. News regarding player injuries, changes in weather conditions, or adjustments to team strategies could all cause shifts in market prices. Unexpected announcements about player availability, such as a key receiver being ruled out, would likely have a significant impact. Additionally, any late-breaking news or analysis regarding the matchup between Los Angeles C and Buffalo could also move this market as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.