TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific players from both teams achieve a longest reception exceeding predetermined yardage thresholds in an upcoming football game. Each player's performance is evaluated independently against their personal benchmark.
All markets resolve based on whether the named player records a longest reception exceeding the specified yardage threshold during the game. If a player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles at the pre-game fair market price. Once a player takes at least one snap — even if the play is nullified by penalty — the outcome is determined solely by the longest reception actually recorded during the game. All markets operate independently, with resolution contingent on individual player performance rather than team results or combined statistics.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks typically set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows individuals to express their own beliefs and react to new information as it emerges. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new developments arise leading up to the game. Examining these differences can reveal insights into where the crowd believes the value lies.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the probability of each player having the longest reception. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective assessment of that outcome's likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time representation of expectations. This allows for a fluid and responsive pricing mechanism, driven entirely by supply and demand from market participants.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player with the longest reception during the Los Angeles C versus Buffalo game will be determined based on official game statistics. The resolution will be based on the official game records and verified against credible public sources. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome, reflecting the actual result of the game.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in weather conditions, or adjustments to team strategies could shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about player availability or potential changes in offensive schemes would likely cause price fluctuations. Additionally, late-breaking reports on player matchups or defensive strategies could influence traders' assessments of each player's likelihood of achieving the longest reception. Monitoring these factors closely will be key to understanding potential market movements.