TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 3:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks passing interceptions in an upcoming professional football game between two teams. It focuses on how many times each team's quarterback loses possession of the ball due to defensive plays during the match.
All markets resolve based on the total number of passing interceptions recorded by specified quarterbacks during the Los Angeles C vs Buffalo Pro Football game scheduled for Sep 27, 2026. If a quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap — even if that play is nullified by a penalty — the market resolves according to the actual number of interceptions recorded during the game. Each market has a specific threshold (1+, 2+, or 3+ interceptions) that must be met or exceeded for a 'Yes' resolution. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or react quickly to news, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individual traders. It’s common to see prediction market prices move independently of sportsbook odds, especially as new information becomes available and more people trade. However, as the event approaches, the prices on Kalshi and sportsbook lines often converge, reflecting a shared understanding of the probabilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, the number of passing interceptions. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, signaling a higher perceived probability. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing interceptions thrown during the Los Angeles C versus Buffalo game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent result. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final outcome of the game.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding the quarterbacks’ health, such as an injury report, would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to be unfavorable for passing, could also shift the odds. Unexpected news about defensive strategies employed by either team, or even pre-game analysis suggesting a change in offensive approach, could move this market. Finally, significant trading volume driven by informed bettors responding to these signals will also impact the prices on Kalshi.