TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 8:05 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Angels and Texas Rangers, scheduled for July 7 at 8:05 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Angels" if the Los Angeles Angels is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. This market will resolve to "Texas Rangers" if the Texas Rangers is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Draw". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Angels and Texas Rangers, scheduled for July 7 at 8:05 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Angels" if the Los Angeles Angels is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. This market will resolve to "Texas Rangers" if the Texas Rangers is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Draw". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders risking real capital. This market may show different probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges or as one side attracts heavier trading volume. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus is strongest and where outlier views exist in the broader sports betting ecosystem.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on buy and sell pressure. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the cumulative bets of all participants, with each trade moving the odds incrementally. Higher trading volume typically narrows spreads and increases price accuracy, while lower volume can create wider bid-ask gaps. As game time nears, expect prices to become more volatile and responsive to breaking news or lineup changes.
This market resolves around Jul 8, 2026, once the first five innings of the game are complete and the final score for that period is verified against credible public sources. The winner is determined by which team has the higher run total after the top of the sixth inning. Resolution is straightforward and based on official game records, ensuring clarity and finality for all traders.
Lineup announcements, injury updates, and starting pitcher confirmations can shift odds significantly before first pitch. Weather conditions, recent team performance streaks, and bullpen availability also influence trader positioning. Once the game begins, runs scored in early innings will drive real-time repricing as the outcome becomes clearer. Late-breaking roster changes or weather delays could create sudden volatility, so monitoring team news and game status is essential for active traders.