TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 8:17 AM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-07-25 02:15 UTC: If the Los Angeles Angels win, the market will resolve to "Los Angeles Angels". If the San Francisco Giants win, the market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-07-25 02:15 UTC: If the Los Angeles Angels win, the market will resolve to "Los Angeles Angels". If the San Francisco Giants win, the market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader conviction—people with real money at stake betting on their genuine beliefs. Prediction markets can sometimes offer sharper, less biased estimates because traders face direct financial consequences for inaccuracy. However, sportsbooks may move faster on breaking news. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where the two communities disagree most.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous order-book model where traders submit buy and sell orders at their chosen prices. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The spread between the best bid and ask reflects the current liquidity and disagreement among participants. As new information emerges—injury reports, lineup changes, or weather updates—traders adjust their orders, and the price moves to reflect the shifting consensus. You can execute trades instantly at the displayed price or place limit orders to wait for your target level.
This market resolves around Jul 25, 2026, once the game concludes and the final result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team wins the matchup—there is no draw or tie option in baseball. Resolution happens automatically after the official final score is confirmed, typically within hours of game end. Traders who backed the winning team receive their payout, while those on the losing side forfeit their stake.
Key catalysts include roster changes such as injuries to star players, last-minute lineup adjustments, or trades announced before game time. Weather conditions at the stadium—wind speed, temperature, and precipitation—can significantly impact run production and shift odds. Starting pitcher announcements or bullpen availability updates often trigger sharp price moves. Team momentum, recent performance streaks, and head-to-head historical matchups also influence trader sentiment. Breaking news about player health, umpire assignments, or other game-day logistics can cause rapid repricing as the market absorbs new information.