TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Los Angeles A vs Texas: Team Total
kalshi
predict

Will the Los Angeles Angels score above the run threshold vs Texas?

Volume:
$96,376

Texas over 3.5 runs scored

 - Kalshi

Texas over 3.5 runs scored - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 10, 2026

Closed: Jul 9, 11:19 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Texas over 3.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$26,449
N/A
N/A
$21,120
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Texas over 5.5 runs scored

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,270
N/A
N/A
$9,161
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Texas over 6.5 runs scored

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,570
N/A
N/A
$4,126
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Los Angeles A over 3.5 runs scored

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,548
N/A
N/A
$3,912
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Los Angeles A over 2.5 runs scored

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,712
N/A
N/A
$4,374
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Texas over 2.5 runs scored

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,599
N/A
N/A
$4,583
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Texas over 4.5 runs scored

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,630
N/A
N/A
$1,594
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Los Angeles A over 4.5 runs scored

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,579
N/A
N/A
$1,190
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Los Angeles A over 5.5 runs scored

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,211
N/A
N/A
$1,488
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Los Angeles A over 1.5 runs scored

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,982
N/A
N/A
$940
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Texas over 1.5 runs scored

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$316
N/A
N/A
$222
Settled
Yes
predict

Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers

1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$438
$8,923
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Texas over 7.5 runs scored

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,152
N/A
N/A
$4,023
Settled
No
kalshi

Los Angeles A over 7.5 runs scored

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,255
N/A
N/A
$1,794
Settled
No
kalshi

Los Angeles A over 6.5 runs scored

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,182
N/A
N/A
$1,081
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This event group covers a July 9, 2026 MLB game between the Los Angeles Angels and Texas Rangers. The Predict platform offers a binary win/loss market, while Kalshi offers team total run thresholds (2+ through 8+ runs for each team). These are fundamentally different market types with incompatible resolution criteria.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The Predict platform resolves on binary game outcome (winner), while Kalshi resolves on team-specific run thresholds. These measure fundamentally different events and cannot be reconciled into a single resolution framework.Hero tip: These markets are not directly comparable. Predict is a winner-take-all game outcome bet. Kalshi markets are independent offensive performance bets. A single game result may resolve differently across the two platforms depending on final score distribution. Trade each platform's market according to its own logic.

Critical divergence points:

  • Predict: Binary win/loss resolution. Market resolves to "Los Angeles Angels" if Angels win, "Texas Rangers" if Rangers win. Tie or cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Primary source: official final statistics from governing body or credible reporting consensus within 24 hours.
  • Kalshi: Multiple independent team total run threshold markets. Each market (Texas 2+, Texas 3+, ... Los Angeles 2+, Los Angeles 3+, etc.) resolves Yes if the specified team reaches or exceeds the run threshold, No otherwise. No explicit tie/cancellation clause provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on individual team run totals in the Los Angeles Angels vs Texas Rangers professional baseball game scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 8:05 PM EDT. Texas Rangers outcomes resolve to Yes if Texas scores at or above the specified threshold (2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, or 8 runs). Los Angeles Angels outcomes resolve to Yes if Los Angeles scores at or above the specified threshold (2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, or 8 runs). Each team's final official score at the end of the complete game determines whether their respective markets resolve Yes or No.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Angels and Texas Rangers, scheduled for July 9 at 8:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Angels" if the Los Angeles Angels win the game. This market will resolve to "Texas Rangers" if the Texas Rangers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like those tracked here operate on real-money trading mechanics, where odds emerge from continuous buy-sell pressure rather than sportsbook algorithms. Traders stake capital on outcomes, creating prices that often reflect sharper, crowd-sourced probability estimates. Sportsbooks, by contrast, set fixed lines designed to balance action and lock in margin. This market's odds may diverge from traditional sportsbook spreads because prediction traders update positions in real time based on breaking news, injury reports, or lineup changes—sometimes faster than book adjustments.

Kalshi and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform operates under distinct rule sets, fee structures, and user bases, all of which influence how traders price the same event. Kalshi and Predict may also attract different participant demographics—some favoring one interface or liquidity pool over another. Market depth, settlement timing nuances, and platform-specific incentives can create temporary price gaps. Savvy traders monitor both venues to identify arbitrage opportunities, though spreads typically narrow as volume increases.

Key catalysts include lineup announcements, starting pitcher confirmations, and injury updates affecting either roster. Weather conditions at game time—wind speed and temperature—can significantly impact scoring potential. Recent team form, bullpen availability, and head-to-head matchup history all influence trader positioning. Breaking news about player health or roster changes often triggers sharp repricing. As the game approaches, real-time betting action and media narratives can accelerate momentum shifts, making this market particularly responsive in the final hours before first pitch.