TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 8, 11:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This event examines individual team performance by tracking how many runs Texas Rangers and Los Angeles Angels each score separately in their July 8, 2026 game. Bettors can predict whether either team will exceed specific run totals.
Each market outcome resolves to Yes if the specified team scores at or above the threshold indicated in the outcome label during the professional baseball game originally scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 8:05 PM EDT. Texas outcomes range from 2+ runs to 8+ runs, while Los Angeles A outcomes range from 2+ runs to 8+ runs. Resolution is based on the final official score of the complete game.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders who have real money at stake on outcomes. This market may show materially different probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges or trading volume shifts. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd's consensus differs from professional oddsmakers' assessments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers that determine the real-time probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders profit by correctly predicting team totals, and the market price reflects the equilibrium between bullish and bearish positions at any given moment. As game time approaches or new developments surface, prices adjust to incorporate fresh information, ensuring the odds remain responsive to changing expectations.
This market resolves around Jul 9, 2026, once the Los Angeles and Texas game concludes and the final team totals are verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the actual runs scored by each team during the contest. Resolution occurs after official game statistics are confirmed, at which point the market settles and traders receive payouts based on their positions and the final result.
Key catalysts include roster changes, injury announcements, recent team performance trends, and weather conditions on game day. Shifts in betting action on sportsbooks or other prediction markets can also influence trader sentiment here. As the event date approaches, updated lineup confirmations and pregame commentary may trigger repricing. Real-time developments during the game itself—such as early scoring or momentum swings—will drive final adjustments before this market closes.