TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 10:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This baseball game between Los Angeles Angels and Texas Rangers is scheduled for July 7, 2026. Bettors predict individual team run totals, forecasting whether each team will score above specific thresholds during the game.
Resolution is based on individual team run totals in the Los Angeles A vs Texas professional baseball game originally scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 8:05 PM EDT. Texas outcomes resolve to Yes if Texas scores at or above specified thresholds (2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, or 8 runs). Los Angeles A outcomes resolve to Yes if Los Angeles A scores at or above specified thresholds (2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, or 8 runs). Each team's performance is evaluated independently based on the game's official final score.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market may show different implied probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, particularly as new information emerges or as event time approaches. Comparing the two can reveal where professional traders and casual bettors disagree on the likely outcome, offering perspective on consensus expectations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the collective willingness of traders to accept risk at that level, with bid-ask spreads tightening as liquidity increases. As traders adjust their positions based on new information or changing views, the market price updates in real time, allowing you to enter or exit at the prevailing rate.
This market resolves around Jul 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team total will be determined by the official score recorded at the conclusion of the game. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as odds shift with breaking news, injury reports, or other developments. Once the game concludes and the official total is published, the market will settle and all positions will be paid out according to the verified result.
Key catalysts for this market include injury announcements, lineup changes, weather conditions, and betting-market activity from major sportsbooks. Coaching decisions, recent team performance trends, and any last-minute roster adjustments can shift trader expectations about scoring output. Public betting patterns and sharp-money movement often signal where informed traders see value, which can trigger repricing on this market. Real-time game developments, such as early scoring or momentum shifts, will also influence prices as traders update their forecasts closer to the final outcome.