TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 10:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This baseball game between Los Angeles Angels and Texas Rangers is scheduled for July 7, 2026. Bettors predict the winner after the first seven innings are completed, with the possibility of a tied score at that point.
Resolution is based on the score at the end of the first 7 innings of the Los Angeles A vs Texas professional baseball game originally scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 8:05 PM EDT. If Los Angeles A leads after 7 innings, the Los Angeles A outcome resolves to Yes. If Texas leads after 7 innings, the Texas outcome resolves to Yes. If the score is tied after 7 innings, the Tie outcome resolves to Yes and all team outcomes resolve to No. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game finishes within two days.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets like this one reflect aggregated trader beliefs about the actual outcome. Traders here have financial incentive to price accurately, which can reveal information sportsbooks haven't fully incorporated. Comparing this market's implied probability to major sportsbook lines may highlight value opportunities, though both adjust as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order matching, where buyers and sellers set the odds by bidding and offering shares. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the last executed trade and the current spread between buy and sell orders. As new information surfaces—injuries, weather, lineup changes—traders adjust their positions, moving the price up or down. This dynamic repricing mechanism ensures the market continuously incorporates fresh signals about the game's likely outcome.
This market resolves around Jul 8, 2026, once the first 7 innings of the Los Angeles versus Texas game are complete and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team has more runs after exactly 7 full innings of play. Your position settles based on the final score at that point, regardless of how the full game ends. Early resolution is possible if the game is called or suspended before 7 innings are played, per standard baseball rules.
Key catalysts include lineup announcements, starting pitcher confirmation, and injury updates for either team. Weather conditions—wind speed, temperature, and humidity—can significantly affect ball carry and scoring. Recent offensive and pitching performance trends, bullpen availability, and head-to-head matchup history all influence trader positioning. Breaking news about player health or roster changes can trigger sharp repricing. As game time approaches, market activity typically intensifies, and any last-minute developments may create rapid price swings.