TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 9:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This baseball game between Los Angeles Angels and Texas Rangers is scheduled for July 7, 2026. Bettors predict the winner after the first three innings are completed, with the possibility of a tied score at that point.
Resolution is based on the score at the end of the first 3 innings of the Los Angeles A vs Texas professional baseball game originally scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 8:05 PM EDT. If Los Angeles A leads after 3 innings, the Los Angeles A outcome resolves to Yes. If Texas leads after 3 innings, the Texas outcome resolves to Yes. If the score is tied after 3 innings, the Tie outcome resolves to Yes and all team outcomes resolve to No. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game finishes within two days.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders who have real money at stake on outcomes. For this market, comparing Kalshi prices to traditional sportsbook lines can reveal where informed traders see value or disagreement. Prediction markets tend to be efficient at incorporating public information quickly, though sportsbooks may adjust faster on high-volume events due to their operational scale.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective assessment of participants' confidence in that result. As new information surfaces—such as lineup announcements, injury reports, or weather updates—traders adjust their bids and offers, and the market price moves accordingly. This dynamic pricing ensures the odds stay current and reflect the latest available information about the matchup.
This market resolves around Jul 8, 2026, once the first 3 innings of the Los Angeles A versus Texas game have concluded and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the official score recorded after the completion of the third inning. Resolution occurs automatically once the event is confirmed, and all positions settle according to the final result. Traders should monitor the game schedule and any official updates from MLB to stay informed on timing.
Several factors could shift prices before this market closes. Lineup announcements, including the starting pitchers and key batters, typically trigger significant movement. Injury reports or late roster changes can alter expectations about offensive and defensive capability. Weather conditions at game time—wind speed, temperature, and humidity—affect ball carry and pitcher performance. Recent team form, head-to-head matchup history, and any breaking news about player availability will influence trader sentiment. As game time approaches, final confirmation of rosters and field conditions often produces the largest price adjustments.