TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 31, 2:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether either the Los Angeles A or Tampa Bay will score a run during the opening inning of their scheduled matchup. On Kalshi, the probability of at least one run scoring in the first inning stands at 50.5%. Resolution is determined by official game records from the May 31, 2026 contest, originally scheduled for 1:40 PM EDT. Watch the teams' recent offensive performance and early-inning tendencies leading up to first pitch on May 31, 2026 to gauge momentum heading into the game.
On Kalshi, the Los Angeles A vs Tampa Bay first inning run contract is priced between 0 and 100 cents, where each cent represents a 1 percent probability of a run occurring in the first inning. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy contracts if they believe a run is more likely than the current price implies, or sell if they think it is less likely. The bid-ask spread and order book depth on Kalshi determine execution costs and liquidity for entering or exiting positions in this event.
The market resolves on May 31, 2026, after the first inning of the Los Angeles A vs Tampa Bay game concludes. The outcome is determined by whether at least one run is scored by either team during that opening frame. Once the first inning ends and the official result is recorded, the contract settles to either 100 cents (run scored) or 0 cents (no run scored), and trader positions are finalized accordingly.
Key catalysts include starting pitcher announcements, recent offensive performance trends, weather conditions at game time, and any last-minute lineup changes. If either team's top hitters are ruled out or a relief pitcher is unexpectedly used early, market odds will shift. Pregame news about injuries, ballpark factors, or bullpen availability can also influence trader expectations. Real-time updates during the game approach will drive final price adjustments before first pitch.