TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 29, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This baseball game between Los Angeles Angels and Seattle Mariners on June 29, 2026 will be evaluated based on the combined total runs scored by both teams. Bettors can wager on whether the combined score will exceed various run thresholds throughout the game.
Resolution is determined by the total combined runs scored by Los Angeles Angels and Seattle Mariners in their professional baseball game scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT. Each outcome corresponds to a specific run threshold, with Yes resolution occurring when the combined total exceeds the stated threshold (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, 8.5, 9.5, 10.5, or 11.5 runs). The final official score at the end of the game determines resolution.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders betting real money on outcomes. This market may show different implied probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, particularly as new information emerges or if one venue attracts sharper action. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value opportunities for informed bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing yes or no outcomes on the total runs threshold. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract reflects the collective assessment of all active traders; as new information surfaces or sentiment shifts, bids and asks adjust accordingly. Liquidity and trading volume influence how tightly the spread trades, and larger positions may experience price impact. Real-time order flow on the platform continuously reprices the market throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Jun 30, 2026, once the Los Angeles versus Seattle game concludes and the final combined run total is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the actual number of runs scored by both teams combined during the game. Resolution occurs after official box scores are published and confirmed, ensuring accuracy before payouts are distributed to winning positions. Traders should monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to stay informed on any scheduling changes or other developments.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before resolution. Lineup announcements, injuries to key players, or weather conditions at game time may alter expectations for offensive output. Recent team performance, batting trends, and pitching matchups all influence run-scoring projections. Breaking news about player availability or field conditions can trigger sharp repricing. Additionally, early-game action—such as quick scoring or defensive plays—will likely move the market as traders update their probability estimates based on live game developments and momentum shifts.