TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 29, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This baseball game between Los Angeles Angels and Seattle Mariners on June 29, 2026 will be evaluated based on individual team run totals. Bettors can wager on whether each team will score above specific run thresholds independently.
Resolution is determined by the individual run totals scored by Seattle Mariners and Los Angeles Angels in their professional baseball game scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT. Seattle Mariners outcomes resolve to Yes when the team scores 2 or more runs (over 1.5), 3 or more runs (over 2.5), 4 or more runs (over 3.5), 5 or more runs (over 4.5), 6 or more runs (over 5.5), 7 or more runs (over 6.5), or 8 or more runs (over 7.5). Los Angeles Angels outcomes resolve to Yes when the team scores 2 or more runs (over 1.5), 3 or more runs (over 2.5), 4 or more runs (over 3.5), 5 or more runs (over 4.5), 6 or more runs (over 5.5), 7 or more runs (over 6.5), or 8 or more runs (over 7.5). The final official score at the end of the game determines resolution.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader positioning rather than bookmaker risk management. Sportsbooks adjust odds to balance liability; prediction markets aggregate beliefs from thousands of participants with direct financial stakes. This market may show different implied probabilities than major sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges or trading volume shifts the crowd's consensus closer to game time.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective assessment of that outcome's likelihood, with spreads tightening as more volume flows in. You can place limit or market orders to enter or exit your position, and the platform matches buyers and sellers in real time.
This market resolves around Jun 30, 2026, once the game concludes and the final team totals are verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official box score and final statistics reported by the league. Until that point, prices will fluctuate based on pre-game analysis, injury reports, betting trends, and any other factors traders believe affect the likelihood of each outcome.
Key catalysts include player injuries or roster changes, weather conditions on game day, recent team performance trends, and line movement at major sportsbooks. Breaking news about starting lineups, coaching decisions, or travel delays can trigger sharp repricing. Additionally, as game time approaches, traders often adjust positions based on updated betting syndicate activity and final injury reports, which may cause significant swings in implied probability.