TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 12:35 AM EST
Kalshi
The Los Angeles Angels will face the Seattle Mariners in a professional baseball game scheduled for September 26, 2026. The outcome depends on whether the game lasts longer than the standard nine innings, requiring additional playtime to determine a winner.
If at least 1 extra inning is played in the Los Angeles A vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can influence the price on Kalshi through their trading activity. Therefore, discrepancies can arise, offering opportunities for informed traders to potentially find value in either market. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of extra innings occurring in the Los Angeles vs Seattle game. As more people buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective assessment of all participants, creating a dynamic and evolving forecast. The market’s depth and volume, currently at $1,267, influence how easily prices change.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether extra innings were played in the Los Angeles vs Seattle game. Official game results will be used to determine if the market resolves in favor of ‘Yes’ (extra innings occurred) or ‘No’ (extra innings did not occur). The final price on Kalshi at resolution will reflect the actual outcome of the game, and traders will be paid out accordingly based on their positions.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding potential pitching changes for either the Los Angeles or Seattle teams, or reports of key player injuries, could significantly shift trader sentiment. Weather forecasts, particularly if they predict conditions favorable for high-scoring games or extended play, could also play a role. Furthermore, the performance of both teams in games leading up to the event, and any shifts in public perception regarding their relative strengths, could all contribute to price movement on Kalshi.