TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 12:36 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Seattle will win its professional baseball game against Los Angeles A. Currently, Kalshi gives Seattle an 85.0% probability of winning, while Los Angeles A is at 16.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the game originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, as determined by the official result reported by Kalshi. Keep an eye on the game’s status as the resolution date estimate is September 27, 2026, which reflects the end of the betting period and the potential for any necessary adjustments following the game.
The market resolves to Yes for the Los Angeles A outcome if Los Angeles A wins the specified game. The market resolves to Yes for the Seattle outcome if Seattle wins the same game. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes within two days of the original date. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days after the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, whereas this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can take the opposite position, driving the prediction market price closer to what they perceive as the true probability. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of information becomes public.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a market maker system to ensure there's always a bid and ask price available, facilitating trading and price discovery for the Los Angeles vs Seattle match.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Los Angeles vs Seattle match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome will be declared the winner and trigger payouts to contract holders. Traders should monitor official sources as the event approaches for the most accurate and timely information.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Los Angeles or Seattle teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in coaching strategies, weather forecasts for the match location, or even significant shifts in public sentiment based on pre-game analysis could all move the market. Unexpected announcements related to team performance or player availability are also likely to influence trading activity and the implied probabilities for each outcome.