TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 26, 4:24 PM EST
Kalshi
The event involves a professional baseball game between two teams scheduled for a specific date and time. The outcome depends on whether any scoring occurs during the first inning of play. This game is part of the regular season matchups for the teams involved.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Los Angeles A vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 26, 2026 at 4:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction markets like this one reflect trader sentiment and can diverge from traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set their odds based on analytics and risk management, this market prices in crowd-driven expectations about which team will score first. That difference often creates unique value points, especially when sharp traders react to late-breaking news or weather shifts.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders manually set prices through buying and selling contracts that represent each possible outcome. The current leading chance reflects the highest bid-ask balance, adjusted for liquidity and trader positioning. As the game approaches, any last-minute announcements — like lineup changes or pitcher's status — can cause rapid shifts in pricing.
This market resolves around Jul 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on the official game record — specifically which team scores the first run of the match — and will be finalized shortly after the first inning concludes.