TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 24, 10:34 PM EST
Kalshi
A professional baseball game between two teams is scheduled for late July 2026. The event in question focuses on whether either team will score during the opening inning of this matchup.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Los Angeles A vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 24, 2026 at 10:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, traders in the first inning run market set odds based on their expectations for early-game scoring dynamics between the two teams. Sportsbook odds typically reflect broader consensus and may include adjustments for betting volume and risk management. In this market, prediction odds can diverge due to more granular, real-time trader sentiment about pitcher performance, ballpark factors, and lineup specifics. While sportsbooks may lag or smooth volatility, prediction markets often react faster to news or weather shifts impacting the first inning. Both offer insight, but this market provides a distinct, community-driven probability snapshot.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market uses a continuous double auction where traders submit bids and asks to determine the current price. The top outcome’s chance is reflected in its market price, which adjusts with each trade based on supply and demand. Volume of $450,778 and 24-hour volume of $430,363 indicate liquidity and recent trader interest. As the game approaches, new information — like lineup changes or weather updates — can shift pricing rapidly, allowing participants to buy or sell contracts at evolving odds.
This market resolves around Jul 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result depends solely on whether either team scores during the first inning of the game, as officially recorded by the league.
Key signals that could shift this market include starting pitcher announcements, last-minute weather updates, or lineup changes that affect offensive strength. Any news suggesting a higher or lower likelihood of early scoring — such as injury reports or strategic adjustments — may cause rapid price movements as traders reassess the odds.