TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 4, 9:49 PM EST
Kalshi
The Los Angeles Angels will face the Pittsburgh Pirates in a Major League Baseball game on September 4, 2026. The outcome hinges on whether the game lasts longer than the standard nine innings, requiring additional frames to determine a winner.
If at least 1 extra inning is played in the Los Angeles A vs Pittsburgh professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 4, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can influence the price here, potentially creating discrepancies. It’s common to see this market odds move independently of sportsbook lines as new information emerges or public perception shifts regarding the Los Angeles A versus Pittsburgh game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of an extra innings game. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing a percentage chance. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all participants regarding the likelihood of the event happening.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether the Los Angeles A versus Pittsburgh game goes into extra innings, as officially recorded by Major League Baseball. The final score and game details will be used to determine if extra innings were played. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those on the losing side will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 5, 2026. Any news regarding starting pitchers, potential weather conditions affecting the game, or significant injuries to key players could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup changes or late-breaking reports about player performance could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, general betting trends and public perception of the matchup will play a role in shaping the market’s direction. Monitoring these signals can help traders identify potential opportunities.