TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 12, 4:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will win the professional baseball game between the Los Angeles Angels and Minnesota Twins. On Kalshi, Los Angeles A is priced at 83.0%, while Minnesota is at 18.0%. The market resolves according to the official result of the game scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 2:10 PM EDT. Watch for any roster changes, injuries, or weather updates leading up to the first pitch on that date.
This event covers the Los Angeles A vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 2:10 PM EDT. Resolution is based on the final outcome of the game, with each team having a corresponding market. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes within two days. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets reflect the collective belief of traders risking real money on outcomes. This market's odds may lead or lag sportsbook lines depending on new information, public sentiment, or trading volume shifts. Comparing the two can reveal where the broader market sees value or disagreement on the matchup's likely result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the market's current consensus probability, ranging from near zero to near one dollar. As new information emerges or trading interest shifts, prices adjust in real time. You can enter limit or market orders to trade at your preferred price or accept the current ask or bid.
This market resolves around Jul 12, 2026, once the matchup concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official final score and result of the game. Until that time, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as new developments, team news, or betting sentiment emerge. Resolution is automatic once the event is complete and the winner is publicly confirmed.
Key catalysts that could shift this market include player injuries or roster changes, recent team performance and momentum, head-to-head matchup history, and public betting trends. Weather conditions, travel schedules, and rest advantages may also influence trader sentiment. Major news—such as a star player's status update or coaching decisions—often triggers sharp price moves. Monitor sports news outlets and team announcements closely, as the market typically reprices quickly once new information reaches traders.