TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 7, 7:29 PM EST
Kalshi
In a baseball game between Los Angeles A and Miami scheduled for August 7, 2026, if either team manages to score during the very first inning, this outcome is marked as Yes.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Los Angeles A vs Miami professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 7, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders manually set prices through buying and selling contracts that represent the possible outcomes. The current top chance reflects the aggregated expectations of all participants on that platform. Liquidity and trader activity drive fluctuations, particularly as new information emerges about team performance, player injuries, or other game-day influences that could affect who scores first in the inning.
This market resolves around Aug 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by official game records showing which team scored the first run in the first inning, and the market settles based on that verified data. No additional interpretation or external judgment is required beyond confirming the publicly reported game results.
Key signals that could shift prices in this market include updates on starting pitchers, last-minute player injuries, weather forecasts affecting game conditions, and early betting trends as the game approaches. Any development that changes the perceived likelihood of which team will score first in the inning can cause rapid shifts in trader sentiment and, consequently, market odds on Kalshi as participants react to new information.