TOTAL VOLUME:

$107.4b

24H VOL:

$110,411,673

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,150,636,380

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,072,997,083

255,512

Markets across

25,285

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,053

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

43%

VS.

Kalshi:

57%

BETA
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
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Ends in
Result

Description

This event group tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional baseball game between the Los Angeles Angels and the Miami Marlins, scheduled for August 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Settlement Value Mismatch / SKU RiskHero tip: Traders should be cautious due to the mismatch in resolution structures; consider hedging positions across platforms to manage risk.

Critical divergence points:

  • Opinion: Resolves to specific team names ("Los Angeles Angels" or "Miami Marlins") based on the final game result. If the game is postponed, market remains open until completed. If canceled or tied, resolves 50-50.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to a binary Yes for either team winning, without distinguishing between the teams. No specific resolution logic for ties or cancellations provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the professional baseball game between Los Angeles A and Miami scheduled for August 7, 2026, at 7:10 PM EDT. If Los Angeles A wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes; if Miami wins, its market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed or delayed, the market remains open until the rescheduled game concludes, provided the reschedule occurs within two days of the original date. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days beyond the original date, the market resolves to a fair price following defined procedures. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Opinion

In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-08-08 20:10 UTC: If the Los Angeles Angels win, the market will resolve to "Los Angeles Angels". If the Miami Marlins win, the market will resolve to "Miami Marlins". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the LA vs Miami matchup market aggregates data across multiple prediction venues, showing real-time consensus views and volume trends. It tracks how Kalshi and Opinion price this market, highlighting the leading outcome and any shifts in trader sentiment. You can see overall volume at $0 and recent 24-hour volume at $0, offering a snapshot of market activity and interest as the event approaches.

Prediction market odds on this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to speculative positioning and lower liquidity. Traders on Kalshi and Opinion may price in nuances like player injuries or weather impacts earlier than sportsbooks. The spread between prediction market implied probabilities and sportsbook lines can reach 42.3 at times, reflecting diverse participant motivations and information flows unique to each venue.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous trading, while Opinion uses a different participant base and rules. Kalshi and Opinion can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, Kalshi currently favors Los Angeles A vs Miami Winner? at 57.5%, while Opinion leans toward Los Angeles Angels vs Miami Marlins at 99.8%. These differences arise from varying user demographics, market design, and timing of information incorporation across the two platforms.

This market resolves around Aug 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game result, which is compared against the market's defined conditions. No further interpretation is needed beyond standard public records of the contest.

Injuries, weather updates, and lineup changes can all shift this market close to game time. Key moments like starting pitcher announcements or last-minute roster moves often cause rapid price adjustments on Kalshi and Opinion. Traders will also watch for any unexpected developments — such as umpires’ decisions or stadium issues — that could affect the contest's outcome.