TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 6, 3:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This event focuses on the Los Angeles Angels' game against the Baltimore Orioles on August 6, 2026, specifically whether the contest will extend beyond the usual nine innings. Extra innings are triggered when the game is tied after the ninth inning, requiring additional playing periods until a winner emerges. The result hinges on the teams' performance and whether the score remains tied through the standard innings.
If Los Angeles A and Baltimore go to extra innings in the Los Angeles A vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 6, 2026 at 12:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a different risk assessment because they are set by traders who can continuously adjust positions. While sportsbooks may offer fixed lines based on broader analytics, this market captures more granular, real-time sentiment from participants directly involved in price discovery. Traders should note that implied probabilities here can diverge noticeably from sportsbook lines, depending on recent performance trends and public betting patterns.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through continuous bidding and asking, which determines the top outcome chance displayed. The current odds reflect aggregated expectations of participants about whether the game will go into extra innings, adjusted for recent trading volume and any major shifts in perceived probability. This dynamic process allows for rapid changes in pricing as new information emerges.
This market resolves around Aug 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by whether the game duration exceeds regulation time, and the platform will finalize the market based on official scores and game summaries available after the match concludes.
Injuries to key players, weather delays, or changes in starting lineups could shift expectations and move this market. Additionally, strong performance by either team in preceding matches or standout statistical trends may influence trader sentiment. Any announcement affecting game dynamics—such as pitching rotations or strategic decisions—can also cause rapid shifts in odds as the resolution date approaches.