TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 17, 6:14 PM EST
Kalshi
A professional baseball game between two teams is scheduled for June 17, 2026 in the afternoon. The event in question is whether this matchup will extend beyond regulation play into extra innings.
If Los Angeles A and Arizona go to extra innings in the Los Angeles A vs Arizona professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 17, 2026 at 3:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market may show higher or lower implied probability than traditional sports betting sites, depending on which venue's participants have stronger conviction. Comparing the two can reveal where informed traders see value relative to conventional oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing yes or no outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective assessment of whether the game will go to extra innings. As new trades execute, the price updates in real time, and the current bid-ask spread indicates the tightness of market consensus. Liquidity and trading volume influence how easily large orders can be filled at stable prices.
This market resolves around Jun 17, 2026, once the game outcome is verifiable from credible public sources. The resolution hinges on whether the matchup between Los Angeles and Arizona proceeds to extra innings or concludes in regulation. Official league records and widely reported final scores serve as the basis for settlement. Traders should monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to stay informed of any scheduling changes or postponements.
Key roster updates, injury reports, and weather forecasts can shift odds significantly before game time. Betting line movements at major sportsbooks often precede prediction market adjustments, as sharp bettors react first. Recent team performance, head-to-head records, and bullpen depth are fundamental factors traders weigh when assessing extra-innings likelihood. Breaking news about player availability or venue conditions can trigger rapid repricing. As the game approaches, live action and early-inning developments may also influence late trading activity.