TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Los Angeles A pro baseball wins this season?
kalshi

Los Angeles A pro baseball wins this season?

Volume:
$115,061

60+ wins

 - Kalshi

60+ wins - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 24, 2026

Closed: Sep 20, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

60+ wins

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,763
N/A
N/A
$4,416
1mo 1w 2d
Yes
kalshi

55+ wins

100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$150
N/A
N/A
$23
1mo 1w 2d
Yes
kalshi

65+ wins

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$44,071
N/A
N/A
$15,669
1mo 1w 2d
No
kalshi

70+ wins

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$43,334
N/A
N/A
$13,348
1mo 1w 2d
No
kalshi

75+ wins

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,085
N/A
N/A
$5,581
1mo 1w 2d
No
kalshi

80+ wins

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,216
N/A
N/A
$3,685
1mo 1w 2d
No
kalshi

85+ wins

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,441
N/A
N/A
$2,107
1mo 1w 2d
No
Total markets: 7

Description

A professional baseball team will achieve a certain number of wins during the 2026 regular season.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on Los Angeles A's total regular season wins in 2026. The team's final win total determines which outcome applies, with each threshold representing a progressively higher performance level. Ties are not counted as wins for purposes of determining the final win total.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Los Angeles team's prospects.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in whether the Los Angeles team will win their league. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, providing a dynamic assessment of the team’s chances. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay to own a contract that pays out if the team wins.

This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether the Los Angeles team ultimately wins their league, as determined by official league standings and results. The final outcome will be based on the official results from the league, and will be verified against credible public sources. Traders will then be paid out or required to settle their contracts based on the final result.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Key player injuries, significant trades, or a change in team management could all shift expectations. The team’s performance in early-season games, particularly against strong opponents, will also be closely watched. Unexpected winning or losing streaks, changes in the team’s statistical performance (such as batting average or earned run average), and even weather conditions affecting key games could all influence trading activity and move the market price. Any news impacting the team’s overall competitiveness has the potential to move this market.