TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 3:00 AM EST
Kalshi
A professional baseball team will achieve a certain number of wins during the 2026 regular season.
Resolution is based on Los Angeles A's total regular season wins in 2026. The team's final win total determines which outcome applies, with each threshold representing a progressively higher performance level. Ties are not counted as wins for purposes of determining the final win total.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in whether the Los Angeles team will win their league. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, providing a dynamic assessment of the team’s chances. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay to own a contract that pays out if the team wins.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether the Los Angeles team ultimately wins their league, as determined by official league standings and results. The final outcome will be based on the official results from the league, and will be verified against credible public sources. Traders will then be paid out or required to settle their contracts based on the final result.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Key player injuries, significant trades, or a change in team management could all shift expectations. The team’s performance in early-season games, particularly against strong opponents, will also be closely watched. Unexpected winning or losing streaks, changes in the team’s statistical performance (such as batting average or earned run average), and even weather conditions affecting key games could all influence trading activity and move the market price. Any news impacting the team’s overall competitiveness has the potential to move this market.