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Vol.
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Resolved Sep 28, 2026
Closed: Sep 27, 8:55 PM EST
Kalshi
During the 2026 professional baseball regular season, one team will experience the longest consecutive losing streak across all leagues.
The market resolves to Yes for the team with the longest losing streak during the 2026 Pro Baseball regular season. If two or more teams tie for the longest losing streak (same length with no team exceeding it), each tied team's market resolves to $1 divided by the number of tied teams, rounded down. Resolution is based on official MLB records of consecutive losses during the regular season.
Generally, prediction markets like this one tend to offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on a variety of factors, including public betting patterns and expert analysis, often incorporating a 'vig' or commission. This market, however, is driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are directly incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. While there can be alignment, prediction markets often reflect more nuanced probabilities, especially when there’s disagreement among informed participants. It’s common to see differences in implied probabilities between this market and sportsbook offerings.
This market resolves around Oct 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which NBA team experienced the longest consecutive losing streak during the 2025-2026 regular season. The final standings and game results will be used to verify the outcome. Trading will cease once the regular season concludes and the losing streaks are officially determined, ensuring a clear and verifiable resolution for this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Unexpected injuries to key players on contending teams could increase the likelihood of losing streaks. Major trades that weaken a team’s roster could also shift probabilities. Furthermore, shifts in team performance, coaching changes, or even a particularly difficult stretch in a team’s schedule could all influence trader sentiment. Any news that alters perceptions of a team’s competitiveness has the potential to move this market, as traders adjust their forecasts based on new information.