TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 27, 6:15 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Londrina EC and Grêmio Novorizontino, scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Londrina EC" if Londrina EC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Grêmio Novorizontino" if Grêmio Novorizontino are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Londrina EC and Grêmio Novorizontino, scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Londrina EC" if Londrina EC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Grêmio Novorizontino" if Grêmio Novorizontino are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader belief and real-money conviction. Traders on Polymarket may price outcomes differently than bookmakers, especially as new information surfaces closer to kickoff. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where the crowd sees value or where consensus differs, though both reflect genuine attempts to forecast the outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader buy and sell orders into real-time probability estimates. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome—whether one team or the other scores first—moves continuously as traders adjust their positions, with the sum of all outcome prices equaling one dollar. Higher prices reflect stronger trader conviction. You can enter or exit your position at any time before the market closes, and the spread between bid and ask prices tightens as volume and participation increase.
This market resolves around Jul 26, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is verified. The outcome is determined by which team scores the opening goal in regulation time. This market settles based on the outcome confirmed through credible public reporting of the match result. Early resolution is not possible; the market remains open for trading until the event is final and verifiable.
Several catalysts can shift odds in this market before kickoff and during the match. Team news—injuries to key forwards, tactical changes, or lineup announcements—often triggers sharp repricing. Recent form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage can all influence trader positioning. Once the match begins, early possession, shots on target, and goalkeeper performance may prompt traders to adjust their bets. Weather conditions and referee assignments can also affect how aggressively each side attacks early on, moving the odds for who scores first.