TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Londrina EC vs. Grêmio Novorizontino
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Londrina EC vs. Grêmio Novorizontino?

Volume:
$225,836

Gremio Novorizontino

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 27, 2026

Closed: Jul 26, 7:31 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Gremio Novorizontino

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$132,284
N/A
N/A
$85,289
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Grêmio Novorizontino

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,845
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Londrina

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$49,945
N/A
N/A
$41,550
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$34,199
N/A
N/A
$16,790
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Londrina EC vs. Grêmio Novorizontino)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,678
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Londrina EC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,885
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a Brazilian Série B soccer match between Londrina EC and Grêmio Novorizontino scheduled for July 26, 2026. Three related markets track the outcome: Londrina win, draw, and Grêmio Novorizontino win. Resolution is based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi presents three mutually exclusive outcomes as independent binary markets without clarifying that only one can resolve Yes. This creates a logical impossibility in market design and makes settlement ambiguous.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi markets in this group until the platform clarifies whether these are three separate contracts or a single three-way outcome market. Polymarket's structure is standard and safe to trade.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three independent binary markets covering all possible outcomes (Londrina win, Draw, Grêmio win). Cancellation logic: Londrina/Grêmio markets resolve No if canceled with no makeup; Draw market resolves Yes if canceled. Resolution source: CBF official statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours of match conclusion. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No' (for win markets) vs 'this market will resolve to Yes' (for draw market).
  • Kalshi: Three markets presented as independent Yes/No contracts, each stating 'If [outcome] occurs, market resolves Yes.' No explicit cancellation logic provided. The structure implies all three outcomes are equally valid resolutions, which is logically impossible since only one outcome can occur per match. Key quote: 'If Londrina wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Gremio Novorizontino wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Brazil Serie B game, scheduled for Sunday, July 26, 2026 between Londrina EC and Grêmio Novorizontino.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the Londrina vs Gremio Novorizontino Brasileiro Serie B match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalties excluded from consideration. The match outcome will be one of three possibilities: Londrina victory, Gremio Novorizontino victory, or a tie. If the scheduled match is cancelled or postponed to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with standard procedures.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market activity across Polymarket and Kalshi for the Londrina vs. Novorizontino match. Traders on both venues are pricing the outcome of this fixture, with each platform maintaining its own order book and user base. The aggregated view lets you monitor consensus sentiment in real time, compare how different prediction markets value the same event, and track total trading volume across venues. Both platforms settle based on the verified result of the match, making this an ideal cross-platform comparison for sports prediction markets.

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price events differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market reflects what thousands of independent traders believe will happen, often incorporating real-time information faster than traditional sportsbooks update their lines. Comparing this market's implied probability to sportsbook odds can reveal where the two venues disagree on the fixture's likely outcome, presenting potential value opportunities for informed bettors.

Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—typically triggers sharp price movement in this market. Pre-match analysis, expert commentary, and betting syndicate activity can shift trader sentiment significantly. Weather conditions, venue factors, and recent form updates may also influence pricing as the fixture approaches. Social media trends and breaking news about either squad can cause rapid repricing across both platforms. Close to kickoff, final team sheets and last-minute tactical announcements often produce the largest swings, as traders incorporate the most current information available.