TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
predict
kalshi
opinion
polymarket

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

Volume:
$2,347,557

Game 1 Winner

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 7, 2026

Closed: Aug 8, 7:18 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Game 1 Winner

View
100%
35%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$767,695
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Game 1 Winner

99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$11,438
$59,884
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Game 2 Winner

100%
35%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$630,082
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Game 2 Winner

99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$22,701
$51,760
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Match Winner

100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$489,171
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Weibo Gaming

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$61,442
N/A
N/A
$43,176
Settled
Yes
predict

Match Winner

99%
31%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$33,528
$85,319
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

Weibo Gaming vs LNG Esports

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Game Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs LNG Esports (+1.5)

100%
58%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$107,055
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Game Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs LNG Esports (+1.5)

99%
56%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$14,599
$13,249
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?

100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,880
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

First Blood in Game 1?

100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,229
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?

100%
67%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$956
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$949
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$796
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Any Player Quadra Kill

100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$423
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

First Blood in Game 2?

100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$153
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$93
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Slay a Dragon

100%
19%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 2.5 Games

1%
44%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$644
$5,259
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,443
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

LNG Esports

0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$61,677
N/A
N/A
$44,264
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 45

Intro

This market tracks whether both Weibo Gaming and LNG Esports will slay a Baron Nashor in Game 1 of their League of Legends LPL Group Nirvana best-of-three series. Currently, the aggregated probability of this occurring across Predict, Kalshi, Opinion, and Polymarket is 50.0%. Resolution will be based on official results from https://gol.gg/esports/home, with credible reporting or video evidence used as backup. Keep an eye on the start of Game 1 on August 8, 2026, to see if either team secures this key objective early in the match.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use the same resolution source (https://gol.gg/esports/home) and consistent rules for cancellations, ties, forfeitures, and name discrepancies.Primary resolution logic: https://gol.gg/esports/home, with credible reporting or video evidence as backup

Core resolution logic:

  • Series winner markets resolve to the team that wins the majority of games in the best-of-three series
  • Game-specific markets resolve based on the outcome of each individual game, with 50-50 for incomplete or unplayed games
  • Total games markets count all completed games, including those decided by forfeit/disqualification
  • In-game milestone markets (Baron, Dragon, Inhibitors, Kills) resolve based on in-game events in each specified game
  • 50-50 resolution applies for cancellations, ties, delays beyond 7 days, or unresolved outcomes from forfeit/disqualification

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Name Discrepancies: Minor name variations (abbreviations, sponsor tags, regional identifiers) are treated as the same team if clearly identifiable
  • Remade Games: If a game is remade, resolution is based on the remade game only
  • Forfeit/Walkover: If a team wins due to opponent's forfeiture/disqualification, the market resolves to the winning team; if a team withdraws before the start, market resolves to 50-50
Timing: Markets resolve based on official results published within 2 hours of the event conclusion, using credible reporting/video evidence as backup if neededOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and LNG Esports in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for August 8 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win the match against LNG Esports. This market will resolve to "LNG Esports" if LNG Esports win the match against Weibo Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

Markets resolve to Yes if the specified team wins the LPL 2026 match between LNG Esports and Weibo Gaming originally scheduled for August 8, 2026, at 3:00 AM EDT. If the match is postponed and does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, cancelled before play begins, or forfeited before any play occurs, the market resolves to the fair market price. If the match begins and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result published by the governing body or tournament organizer.

Predict

This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and LNG Esports in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for August 8 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win the match against LNG Esports. This market will resolve to "LNG Esports" if LNG Esports win the match against Weibo Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Opinion

In the upcoming LPL best-of-series match scheduled for 2026-08-08 07:00 UTC: if LNG Esports wins the series, the market will resolve to "LNG Esports"; if Weibo Gaming wins the series, the market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming". The series winner is the first team to win a majority of games. Individual games remade due to technical issues do not count as wins toward the series. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. In cases where a team's listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: official LPL broadcast and https://lolesports.com. Note: Opinion will resolve this market strictly based on the first final result officially published or announced by a designated resolution source. Any subsequent revision, correction, or reversal will not affect the resolution.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the LPL Nirvana group match market aggregates activity across multiple prediction venues, showing real-time consensus and volume trends. It tracks the total volume of $2,347,557 and recent 24-hour volume of $122,087, letting users see how traders across platforms price this market. The view updates continuously, reflecting shifts in sentiment as the match approaches.