TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 24, 1:15 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether any player will achieve a quadra kill during Game 3 of the League of Legends best-of-five match between Weibo Gaming and LGD Gaming in the LPL Play-In. The leading outcome, a quadra kill occurring in Game 3, currently stands at 100.0% on Polymarket, with resolution determined by gol.gg. Watch for the match scheduled on May 24, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET to see if the predicted outcome materializes during Game 3 play.
This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and LGD Gaming in the LPL Play-In, initially scheduled for May 24 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win the match against LGD Gaming. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win the match against Weibo Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect decentralized trader sentiment rather than bookmaker risk management. Sportsbooks adjust odds to balance liability; prediction markets price based on collective belief. For this LPL Play-In matchup, monitor whether Polymarket odds lead or lag behind major esports sportsbooks. Prediction markets can be more efficient at incorporating breaking news about player form, team strategy, or last-minute roster changes, while sportsbooks may move more cautiously to protect margins.
The market resolves on May 24, 2026 following the completion of the best-of-five series between Weibo Gaming and LGD Gaming in the LPL Play-In. Resolution is determined by the official result of the match as recorded by the LPL and major esports data providers. The winning team—the first to secure three map victories—triggers the corresponding outcome. Markets remain open for trading until the series concludes, allowing late-stage price discovery as the match unfolds.
Key catalysts include roster announcements, player injury or substitution news, recent scrim results, and team form heading into the Play-In. Pre-match analysis from LPL casters and esports analysts can shift trader sentiment. During the series itself, each map result will trigger sharp price moves; early momentum—such as one team winning the first two maps—often drives significant repricing. Meta shifts, champion bans, and draft advantages observed in real time also influence odds. Post-match interviews or coaching decisions between games may reveal strategic adjustments that traders incorporate immediately.