TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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Game 1 Winner
all
2 markets
Polymarket
Predict
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 5, 2026
Closed: Sep 5, 3:16 PM EST
Polymarket
Game Handicap: PNG (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars (+1.5)
Intro
This market tracks the probability of Total Kills exceeding 24.5 in Game 4 of the best-of-five League of Legends match between Vivo Keyd Stars and paiN Gaming during the CBLOL Playoffs. Currently, the aggregated consensus across Kalshi, Polymarket, Limitless, and Predict indicates a 100.0% probability of this outcome. Resolution will be determined by data from https://gol.gg/esports/home. Keep an eye on the start of Game 4, scheduled for September 5, 2026, as the outcome of this match will finalize the market.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue: Discrepancies exist in how tie/cancellation scenarios and postponed matches are resolved across platforms, particularly regarding the postponement deadline.Hero tip: Monitor official announcements for rescheduling details. Kalshi's shorter postponement window increases the risk of a 50-50 resolution compared to Polymarket.Critical divergence points:
- Polymarket: Resolves to 50-50 for cancellations or ties. Postponement is resolved based on a rescheduled date within 14 days of the original date. "If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played."
- Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either team wins. Resolves to 50-50 if the match is canceled or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date. "If paiN Gaming wins the CBLOL 2026: paiN Gaming vs. Vivo Keyd Stars League of Legends match originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes."
Polymarket
This market refers to the LoL Upper Bracket Quarterfinals 2 match between Vivo Keyd Stars and paiN Gaming in the CBLOL Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Vivo Keyd Stars" if Vivo Keyd Stars win the match against paiN Gaming. This market will resolve to "paiN Gaming" if paiN Gaming win the match against Vivo Keyd Stars. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 19, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Kalshi
The market resolves to Yes if either paiN Gaming or Vivo Keyd Stars wins the specified League of Legends match originally scheduled for September 5, 2026, at 12:00 PM EDT. If the match is postponed and not started within 48 hours of the original time, or if it is cancelled or forfeited before any play occurs, the market resolves to the fair market price. If the match begins and is later forfeited, the market resolves based on the official result from the governing body or tournament organizer. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Predict
This market refers to the LoL Upper Bracket Quarterfinals 2 match between Vivo Keyd Stars and paiN Gaming in the CBLOL Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Vivo Keyd Stars" if Vivo Keyd Stars win the match against paiN Gaming. This market will resolve to "paiN Gaming" if paiN Gaming win the match against Vivo Keyd Stars. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 19, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Limitless
This market refers to the LoL match between Vivo Keyd Stars and paiN Gaming in the CBLOL Split 2 2026, initially scheduled for September 5, 2026 UTC. This market will resolve to "Vivo Keyd Stars" if Vivo Keyd Stars win the match against paiN Gaming. This market will resolve to "paiN Gaming" if paiN Gaming win the match against Vivo Keyd Stars. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, or the team is renamed or rebranded, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Frequently asked questions
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes could shift expectations. In-game performance during the series itself will be a major driver of price movement, particularly after each match. Unexpected upsets or dominant performances by either team could significantly alter the probabilities reflected in the market. Additionally, broader shifts in sentiment within the League of Legends esports community could also impact trading activity.