TOTAL VOLUME:

$54.6b

24H VOL:

$283,259,638

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,235,549,422

505,521

Markets across

13,661

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,892

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

BETA
Dashboards
kalshi
polymarket
Trending

LoL: Verdant vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Champions Round

Volume:
$134,969
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

This event group covers a League of Legends best-of-three match between Verdant and WLGaming Esports in the EMEA Masters Champions Round, scheduled for March 9, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Markets span match winner, individual game winners (Game 1 and Game 2), total games played, and game handicap outcomes.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue:

Kalshi presents a binary tautological market (Yes if either team wins) with ambiguous edge-case handling, while Polymarket offers five granular markets with explicit cancellation, forfeiture, and delay protocols. The markets measure different scopes and have different failure modes.

Hero Tip:

Kalshi's market is effectively a match-completion confirmation (Yes unless canceled/forfeited). Use Polymarket's individual markets for directional bets on specific outcomes. Both platforms agree on primary source (gol.gg) and 2-hour publication window. Watch for any delay beyond March 16, 2026 without play beginning—this triggers 50-50 on Polymarket and likely voids Kalshi.

Critical Divergence Points:

  • Kalshi: Binary Yes/No market that resolves Yes if either WLGaming Esports or Verdant wins the match. No explicit edge-case handling provided. Effectively a match-completion confirmation rather than a directional outcome market.
  • Polymarket: Five granular markets: (1) Match Winner (Verdant or WLGaming Esports), (2) Game 1 Winner, (3) Game 2 Winner, (4) Games Total O/U 2.5, (5) Game Handicap WLG (-1.5) vs Verdant (+1.5). All markets resolve 50-50 on cancellation, delay beyond 7 days without play, or incomplete matches without forfeit. Forfeits in clinching game count as completed match. Quote: 'If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Follow the signals, not the noise

Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.

Company

Brand Kit

API & Data Licensing

Methodology

Help Center

Contact

PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.