TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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LGD Gaming
- Kalshi
LGD Gaming - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
Closed: Aug 13, 8:39 AM EST
Kalshi
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)
Intro
This market tracks whether any player will achieve a quadra kill in Game 2 of the League of Legends match between Top Esports and LGD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend. The current aggregated consensus probability for a quadra kill is 100.0%, with a penta kill also at 100.0%. Data is aggregated from Predict, Kalshi, Opinion, Polymarket, and Limitless, resolving against the official LPL broadcast and https://gol.gg/esports/home. Watch the August 13, 2026 match for the outcome.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms agree on core resolution logic using official LPL results and gol.gg as the primary source, with consistent handling of cancellations, remades, and incomplete games.Primary resolution logic: Official LPL broadcast and https://gol.gg/esports/homeCore resolution logic:
- Match winner is the first team to win a majority of games in the best-of-three series
- Cancellations, ties, or delays beyond 7 days result in 50-50 resolution
- Game-specific markets only resolve if the game is completed; remade games use the final version
- Baron/Nashor, Dragon, Inhibitor, Quadra/Kill metrics are counted only in completed games
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Remade Games: Only the final, official game version counts — earlier versions are ignored
- Forfeit/Walkover: If a team wins via forfeit/disqualification, the match resolves to that team; if both withdraw, it resolves 50-50
- Incomplete Games: Game-specific markets resolve 50-50 if the game is not completed for any reason
Polymarket
This market refers to the LoL match between Top Esports and LGD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 13 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win the match against LGD Gaming. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win the match against Top Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Kalshi
The event resolves based on the result of the LPL 2026 League of Legends match between LGD Gaming and Top Esports scheduled for August 13, 2026, at 5:00 AM EDT. If LGD Gaming wins the match, the LGD Gaming market resolves to Yes, and the Top Esports market resolves to No. Conversely, if Top Esports wins, the Top Esports market resolves to Yes, and the LGD Gaming market resolves to No. Should the match be postponed and not commence within 48 hours of its original start time, or if it is cancelled or forfeited before play begins, both markets will resolve to their respective fair market prices. If the match starts but is later forfeited, the outcome will be determined by the official result declared by the governing body or tournament organizer. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Predict
This market refers to the LoL match between Top Esports and LGD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 13 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win the match against LGD Gaming. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win the match against Top Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Limitless
This market refers to the LoL match between Top Esports and LGD Gaming in the LPL Split 3 2026, initially scheduled for August 13, 2026 UTC. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win the match against LGD Gaming. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win the match against Top Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, or the team is renamed or rebranded, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Opinion
In the upcoming LPL best-of-series match scheduled for 2026-08-13 10:20 UTC: if LGD Gaming wins the series, the market will resolve to "LGD Gaming"; if Top Esports wins the series, the market will resolve to "Top Esports". The series winner is the first team to win a majority of games. Individual games remade due to technical issues do not count as wins toward the series. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. In cases where a team's listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: official LPL broadcast and https://lolesports.com. Note: Opinion will resolve this market strictly based on the first final result officially published or announced by a designated resolution source. Any subsequent revision, correction, or reversal will not affect the resolution.