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LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
kalshi
polymarket

LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Volume:
$1,599,194

Invictus Gaming

 - Kalshi

Invictus Gaming - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 5, 2026

Closed: Apr 4, 7:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Invictus Gaming

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,699
N/A
N/A
$10,795
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$110
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Slay a Dragon

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$92
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Slay a Dragon

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$71
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

First Blood in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$61
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 22.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 19.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 20.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 1 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$712,496
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Top Esports

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,055
N/A
N/A
$7,633
Settled
No
polymarket

Game 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$465,487
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$383,640
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,542
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,310
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$248
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 34.5 in Game 1?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$170
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 65

Description

This market refers to the LoL match between Top Esports and Invictus Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for April 4 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win the match against Invictus Gaming. This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win the match against Top Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market on Map 1 winner resolves to YES for either team winning (logical contradiction), while Polymarket's markets require specific game completion and team-specific outcomes. Kalshi's resolution logic is fundamentally broken and makes the market unresolvable.Hero tip: Avoid betting on Kalshi's Map 1 market — it contains a logical error where both possible outcomes (Top Esports wins OR Invictus Gaming wins) resolve to YES, making it impossible to lose. Polymarket markets are resolvable and use standard BO3 logic with proper contingencies for incomplete games, forfeits, and delays.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Contains a critical logical contradiction. The market states 'If Top Esports wins map 1... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Invictus Gaming wins map 1... then the market resolves to Yes.' This means both possible outcomes resolve YES, making the market unresolvable and creating a guaranteed arbitrage opportunity. No contingency rules for incomplete matches, forfeits, or delays are provided.
  • Polymarket: Aligned with standard esports settlement practices: All 23 Polymarket markets use consistent resolution logic tied to gol.gg as primary source with credible reporting fallback. Markets resolve based on completed games with explicit contingencies: incomplete games resolve 50-50, forfeits/walkovers resolve 50-50 (except series winner if one team wins via opponent forfeiture mid-series), matches delayed beyond 7 days without play resolve 50-50, and remakes resolve based on remade game only. Each market specifies whether it requires game completion (e.g., 'Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined') or series completion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.